Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.003229 0.003386 0.003546 0.003721 0.003909 0.004104 0.004322
2025-04-06 0.002957 0.003190 0.003439 0.003723 0.004040 0.004384 0.004787
2025-04-13 0.002701 0.002969 0.003260 0.003602 0.003995 0.004435 0.004968
2025-04-20 0.002577 0.002875 0.003207 0.003606 0.004076 0.004616 0.005289
2025-04-27 0.002505 0.002833 0.003204 0.003660 0.004208 0.004854 0.005682
2025-05-04 0.002395 0.002737 0.003132 0.003623 0.004226 0.004951 0.005901
2025-05-11 0.002305 0.002661 0.003075 0.003601 0.004256 0.005059 0.006134
2025-05-18 0.002224 0.002589 0.003021 0.003575 0.004277 0.005153 0.006350
2025-05-25 0.002191 0.002574 0.003033 0.003630 0.004401 0.005379 0.006746
2025-06-01 0.002129 0.002521 0.002995 0.003619 0.004436 0.005490 0.006991
2025-06-08 0.002064 0.002461 0.002945 0.003590 0.004445 0.005565 0.007188
2025-06-15 0.001992 0.002389 0.002877 0.003535 0.004416 0.005585 0.007307
2025-06-22 0.001927 0.002325 0.002818 0.003490 0.004399 0.005623 0.007454
2025-06-29 0.001886 0.002289 0.002795 0.003491 0.004445 0.005747 0.007732
2025-07-06 0.001800 0.002195 0.002692 0.003380 0.004332 0.005644 0.007669
2025-07-13 0.001767 0.002166 0.002674 0.003384 0.004378 0.005767 0.007946
2025-07-20 0.001753 0.002163 0.002690 0.003433 0.004488 0.005985 0.008380
2025-07-27 0.001708 0.002117 0.002646 0.003399 0.004478 0.006027 0.008542
2025-08-03 0.001670 0.002080 0.002613 0.003379 0.004486 0.006094 0.008745
2025-08-10 0.001633 0.002043 0.002579 0.003355 0.004488 0.006152 0.008934
2025-08-17 0.001625 0.002044 0.002598 0.003406 0.004601 0.006382 0.009418
2025-08-24 0.001595 0.002016 0.002574 0.003396 0.004621 0.006470 0.009669
2025-08-31 0.001561 0.001980 0.002540 0.003369 0.004616 0.006517 0.009852